Romney’s Victory Tomorrow: Great or the Greatest?
by Mark Wilson
Even as the so-called mainstream media insist that the election is going to be razor-thin, and even as Nate Silver predicts a decisive Obama victory, Digby memorializes conservative election projections of the landslide to end all landslides, just in case:
First up, Karl Rove:
My prediction: Sometime after the cock crows on the morning of Nov. 7, Mitt Romney will be declared America’s 45th president. Let’s call it 51%-48%, with Mr. Romney carrying at least 279 Electoral College votes, probably more.
Next, Michael Barone:
Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223. That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election. Fundamentals.
Then there’s Glenn Beck:
Story on the blaze on all those who are now saying what I have said for a while: landslide for Romney. 321 electoral votes.George Will has 321 Romney, 217 Obama (though he forgot his own numbers on the air):
I forgot my exact number. I guess you have a graphic here. I guess the wild card in what I’ve projected is I’m projecting Minnesota to go for Romney. Now, that’s the only state in the union, because Mondale held it — native son Mondale held it when Romney was — when Reagan was getting 49 states — the only state that’s voted Democratic in nine consecutive elections. But this year, there’s a marriage amendment on the ballot that will bring out the evangelicals and I think could make the difference.
The immortally wrong Dick Morris:
We’re going to win by a landslide. “It will be the biggest surprise in recent American political history.” “It will rekindle the whole question on why the media played this race as a nailbiter where I think in fact Romney’s going to win by quite a bit. My own view is that Romney is going to carry 325 electoral votes…I think he’s going to win Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Indiana…Iowa, Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Minnesota and Colorado. This is going to be a landslide.
Again, Nate Silver is suggesting that Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Minnesota will go to Obama in the 90%+ range of certainty (except for Ohio, at 86.8%). What does Dick Morris know that the rest of us don’t? He must have The Math.
Some conservatives, though, are already doing some Sunday-morning quarterbacking.